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Model status

Where each research model stands against its decision rule.

For each model: the basis of its verdict (forward sample collected after publication, or an out-of-sample historical test), the verdict, whether its source data was updated, its cadence, as-of date, forward-sample progress and its error relative to a simple baseline model — copied as given. No securities, prices or predicted values.

Coming soon — the model status file is not available yet.

Verdict vocabulary
Passed
Met the decision rule fixed in advance (cleared for operation).
On hold
Has not met the rule yet, or checks are unfinished; not used in operation.
Accumulating
The sample collected after publication (forward sample) has not reached its target; the decision comes after.
Rejected
Failed the decision rule and is not used. The record is kept.

An operating record for information only; not investment advice. Verdicts are copied from rules fixed in advance.